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CPI vs. Core CPI (core inflation little changed since 2021) – headline and core inverted in March 2023 and is still not resolved

CPI: Consumer Purchasing Power (what inflation accomplishes) – observe how the slope has steepened

Recessions have arrived just as everyone gave up on it:

"JPMorgan Chase economists scrapped their call for a #recession in the US, joining a growing number of forecasters who now expect the economy to avert the downturn..." (Bloomberg)

Same thing happened in 2008. pic.twitter.com/YumgOabFFl

— Inkling (@inside_finance) August 4, 2023

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Most Recent Posts

  • WSJ: U.S. auto sales worst annual results in over a decade January 4, 2023
  • Fed minutes: absolute clarity of direction and help is not likely in 2023 January 4, 2023
  • Thanksgiving: William Bradford’s first-hand account of the Mayflower voyage and the settling of Plymouth November 24, 2022
  • CPI – reduction in the rate of increase is not a decrease but still lit the fuse of a tape bomb November 11, 2022
  • Former Secretary of the Treasury Summers: “we can’t stop at curbing inflation” November 1, 2022
  • FOMC notes and updated indicators (2022 09 21) September 23, 2022
  • Consumer credit and spending momentum September 9, 2022
  • The bottom or is this time it’s different? August 12, 2022
  • July CPI – hot, cold, or goldilocks for the Fed? August 9, 2022
  • Employment Cost Index (ECI) from the BLS for JUNE 2022 – wages continue to inch higher July 29, 2022

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